Here is my full list of Oscar predictions! We are entering the season. Get ready! I will be seeing a ton of these movies in the coming couple months as they get wide releases in the theatre. Can’t wait to share my thoughts with you on this!
Best Picture
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La La Land (Release date: December 2nd, 2016)
*Yes! This is a musical-comedy that is a contender to WIN Best Picture and brings me so much joy.
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(tie) Fences (Release date: December 16, 2016) and Manchester by the Sea (Release date: November 18, 2016)
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Silence (Release date: November 2016)
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(tie) Moonlight (Release date: October 26, 2016) and Lion (Release date: November 25, 2016)
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Loving (Release date: November 4, 2016)
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Arrival (Release date: November 11, 2016)
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Jackie (Release date: December 2, 2016)
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Sully (In theatres now)
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Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Release date: November 11, 2016)
*This film got negative reviews due to Ang Lee’s choice of frame rate that makes the characters look like 3D generated images instead of real people.
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Hidden Figures (Release date: January 17, 2017)
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20th Century Women (Release date: October 8, 2016)
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Hacksaw Ridge (Release date: November 4, 2016)
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Hell or High Water (Release date: Already in theatres)
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(tie) Birth of a Nation (Release date: October 7, 2016) and Nocturnal Animals (November 23, 2016)
*I think there is no way Birth of a Nation gets any nominations, except maybe for acting awards that don’t involve Nate Parker. I don’t see the Academy wanting to promote controversy during this season.
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Passengers (Release date: December 21, 2016)
*I see this film more as a money-maker rather than a serious Oscar contender.
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Allied (Release date: November 23, 2016)
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(tie) A Monster Calls (Release date: January 6, 2017) and Rules Don’t Apply (Release date: November 23, 2016)
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Jungle Book (Release date: Was already in theatres)
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The Founder (Release date: December 16, 2016)
*I wish this film will get nominated for something because I really love Michael Keaton and Nick Offerman.
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Elle (Release date: November 11, 2016)
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Eye in the Sky (Release date: Was already in theatres)
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Patriot’s Day (Release date: December 21, 2016)
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Queen of Katwe (Release date: Already released)
Best Director
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Damien Chazelle for La La Land
*Love of my life. What a prodigy.
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Martin Scorsese for Silence
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Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester By the Sea
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Barry Jenkins for Moonlight
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Denzel Washington for Fences
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(tie) Denis Villeneuve for Arrival and Pablo Larrain for Jackie
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Jeff Nichols for Loving
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Ang Lee for Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
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Clint Eastwood for Sully
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Mel Gibson for Hacksaw Ridge
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Morten Tyldum for Passengers
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Tom Ford for Nocturnal Animals
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Robert Zemeckis for Allied
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Mike Mills for 20th Century Women
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Ben Affleck for Live By Night
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(tie) Warren Beatty for Rules Don’t Apply and Andrea Arnold for American Honey
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JA Bayona for A Monster Calls
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(tie) John Lee Hancock for The Founder and David Mackenzie for Hell or High Water
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Jon Favreau for The Jungle Book
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Peter Berg for Patriot’s Day
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Maron Ade for Toni Erdmann
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Mira Nair for Queen of Katwe
Note the absence of Nate Parker from this list. There is no way he is getting rewarded for this film.
Best Actor
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Casey Affleck for Manchester by the Sea
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Denzel Washington for Fences
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Ryan Gosling for La La Land
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Joel Edgerton for Loving
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Tom Hanks for Sully
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Jake Gyllenhaal for Nocturnal Animals
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Andrew Garfield for Silence
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Andrew Garfield for Hacksaw Ridge
*I’m going to be sad for him if he doesn’t get nominated for one of these because he is creating some good work this year.
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Nate Parker for Birth of a Nation
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Alden Ehrenreich for Rules Don’t Apply
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Dev Patel for Lion
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Brad Pitt for Allied
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Ewan McGregor for American Pastoral
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Chris Pratt for Passengers
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Ethan Hawke for Born to Be Blue
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Lewis MacDougall for A Monster Calls
Best Actress
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(tie) Emma Stone for La La Land and Natalie Portman for Jackie
*I love both of these ladies so much! Emma Stone is incredible and Natalie Portman is the perfect Jackie Kennedy.
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Annette Bening for 20th Century Women
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(tie) Amy Adams for Arrival and Ruth Negga for Loving
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Meryl Streep for Florence Foster Jenkins
*I doubt the Oscars will end up not including her.
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(tie) Isabelle Huppert for Elle and Jessica Chastain for Miss Sloane
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Jennifer Lawrence for Passengers
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Marion Cotillard for Allied
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Emily Blunt for Girl on the Train
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Rebecca Hall for Christine
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Amy Adams for Nocturnal Animals
Best Supporting Actor
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(tie) Mahershala Ali for Moonlight and Liam Neeson for Silence
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(tie) Hugh Grant for Florence Foster Jenkins and Michael Shannon for Nocturnal Animals
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Lucas Hedges for Manchester by the Sea
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Jeff Bridges for Hell or High Water
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Peter Sarsgaard for Jackie
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Aaron Eckhart for Sully
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Alan Rickman for Eye in the Sky
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Steve Martin for Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
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Kyle Chandler for Manchester by the Sea
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Armie Hammer for Birth of a Nation
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(tie) Adam Driver for Silence and Ralph Fiennes for A Bigger Splash
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Warren Beatty for Rules Don’t Apply
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Jeremy Renner for Arrival
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Tracy Letts for Indignation
Best Supporting Actress
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Viola Davis for Fences
*So the producers of Fences submitted her for the SAG Awards in this community, so it’s likely she will end up in this category for the Oscars. And she’s the queen, so…
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Naomie Harris for Moonlight
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Michelle Williams for Manchester by the Sea
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Nicole Kidman for Lion
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Greta Gerwig for 20th Century Women
*I hope it is finally her time for a nomination! She has been doing a lot of good work, but it has been for smaller producing companies which don’t get enough attention from the Academy.
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Kristen Stewart for Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
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Octavia Spencer for Hidden Figures
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Helen Mirren for Eye in the Sky
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Aja Naomi King for Birth of a Nation
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Lupita Nyong’o for Queen of Katwe
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Julianne Moore for Maggie’s Plan
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Felicity Jones for A Monster Calls
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Dakota Fanning for American Pastoral
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Carmen Ejogo for Born to Be Blue
Best Original Screenplay
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Manchester by the Sea
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Moonlight
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La La Land
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Mike Mills
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Loving
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Jackie
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Hell or High Water
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The Lobster
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Miss Sloane
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Toni Erdmann
Best Adapted Screenplay
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Fences
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Silence
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Lion
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Arrival
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Hidden Figures
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Nocturnal Animals
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Love and Friendship
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Live by Night
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Sully
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(tie) Elle and Hacksaw Ridge
Best Animated Feature
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Zootopia (Was already in theatres)
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Moana (Release date: November 23, 2016)
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(tie) The Red Turtle (Release date: January 20, 2017) and Kubo and the Two Strings (In theatres now)
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Finding Dory (Was already in theatres)
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Miss Hokusai (Release date: October 14, 2016)
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Sing (Release date: December 21, 2016)
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April and the Extraordinary World (Was already in theatres)
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Sausage Party (In theatres now)
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The Little Prince (On Netflix)
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Trolls (Release date: November 4, 2016)
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The Secret Life of Pets (Was already in theatres)
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Ice Age: Collision Course (Was already in theatres)
Final thoughts: I will die if La La Land gets a bunch of nominations; musicals and comedies are so so overlooked by these major award academies. So that’s very exciting for me. I also like that we are seeing more minorities represented in the acting and directing categories. These predictions are also marked by a younger generation of actors and directors, which is also quite exciting.
What do you think of my predictions? Let me know in the comments!